Was the New Deal Contractionary?
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- https://www.imf.org/external/np/seminars/eng/2009/macro/pdf/gbe.pdf or search for this URL in the Internet Archive.
"Can government policies that increase the monopoly power of firms and the militancy of unions increase output? This paper studies this question in a dynamic general equilibrium model with nominal frictions and shows that these policies are expansionary when certain “emergency” conditions apply. These emergency conditions–zero interest rates and deflation–were satisfied during the Great Depression in the United States. Therefore, the New Deal, which facilitated monopolies and union militancy, was expansionary, according to the model. This conclusion is contrary to the one reached by a large previous literature, e.g. Cole and Ohanian (2004), that argues that the New Deal was contractionary." A very technical paper.
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